香港的政改争辩了多年,终于在2010年成功地在立法会通过。无论如何也是中央‧香港政府及民主党的妥协下达成的结果。当然问题复杂是因为民主党在立法局占有一定的票数,也是香港选民的选择下而产生。
The political reform of HK has been argued for years, finally in 2010 it is passed in LEGCO. No matter how, this is the mutual agreement between Central Government, HKSAR and Democratic Party to make it happened. The complicated situation is due to the number of seats of Democratic Pary and that was the selection of the HK voters.
长远的目标是行政长官及立法局完全由香港选民一人一票选出,这就是称为民主的事。本人认为民主的精神在于以民为主,不是由民作主。以民为主是最重要,谁人当政也好,只要保持这个原则就自然会给人民好日子。由民作主的首要条件是人民明白大我及小我,这点香港人就不能达到了。不少事都因政治问题变成了多数服从小数,这样的社会绝不适宜由民作主。
The long term target is to have the Chief Executive and LEGCO members to be selected by the public with one vote per voters. I think that democracy should be better with FOR THE PEOPLE and not BY THE PEOPLE. Who is the Chief may not be important, provided that the principle FOR THE PEOPLE is kept and would let citizen have nice living. There is priority with BY THE PEOPLE, all voters must understand what is individual and what is society. This is not the condition of Hong Kong people. Many cases proved that the majority had to give way for minority, such society is not suitable for BY THE PEOPLE.
多年前本人主办了多个工作坊给本人的摄影学生参加,以一年的时间训练他们摄影创作,最后是一个展览;结束。整件事完全是本人决定一切包括找赞助商(通常是柯达及佳能),选作品,装裱,印场刊至庆功宴等。本人当年以所有学生的利益为首位而不会偏重任何一个。除了应收的学费外,展览等开支通常都要本人贴补一些才足够。由于有一些学生有点意见,所以在最后一次本人就把庆功宴的安排交由他们决定。结果就是完全依照本人上一个工作坊的选择。在下一年本人鼓励下,这班学生自行举办展览,结果因为各持己见而吵闹了多次,幸而展览仍可完成不至不欢而散,但因此而完结了这种活动。有部份更说都是当年在本人的家长式方法较好。本人的学生已经是像本人一样不计较名利,仍有这样的问题,可见当每个人都有权提出意见时,没有一个人可以作最后的取舍就会产生困局的。
Some years ago, I had organized several Workshop for my photographic students. With a year to train their creation, the final would be an exhibition. Everything from looking for sponsors (usually Kodak and Canon), selection of their works, mounting, printing booklets to arranging dinner to celebrate etc. were decided by me. Besides the normal lecture fee, the budget for exhibition always needed my contribution. A few students had some complaint. So for the last Workshop, I asked them to arrange the dinner. The outcome was their choice based on mine for the previous Workshop. With my encouragement, they arranged an exhibition by themselves the following year. Due to each had individual idea, there were several fierce argument. Fortunately, the exhibition could be opened, but they never continued such co-operation again. Remember that all of them had been trained like me not to care for money and fame, yet such problem still existed. That is because when each one can give individual idea and there is no one powerful enough to take the final choice will lead to such dilemma.
看看不少国家也是在国民欠缺条件而盲目采用由民作主的选举,结果只有产生对立的政局、什么事也做不成,国家与人民都是受害者。这次本人并不是谈论政制,所以暂不继续讨论这方面的事。
Just look at some countries, without the condition and blindly taken the BY THE PEOPLE selection system. The outcome is only the opposition that made everything failed giving pain to the country and the people. I am not discussing the problem of system, therefore would not be continued this time.
当年在邓小平领导下制成的基本法,一方面指出香港政制五十年不变,另方面又定出政制改革要用循序渐进方式来达到完全民主选举。本人已感到有点矛盾,既然话五十年不变,又为什么会在回归后廿年左右就改变呢?本人估计所谓五十年是预算在这个时期,当年的汉奸死硬派都成为古人,新一代大多数会有爱国的情怀。这点能否出现的确是不可预料。
At that time, under the leadership of Dèng Xiǎo Píng, the Basic Law was created. It has the idea of keeping the Hong Kong system without change for fifty years, and the political reform with gradual steps towards the complete democratic voting. I already found it quite ambiguous, fifty years without change accompanied by change of voting in about twenty years. I thought that the choice of fifty years was based on the assumption that those Chinese style traitors would be passed away and the new generation would have a higher percentage of patriotic. Will this really happen remains unknown.
以目前来看,虽然传媒方面仍是汉奸主导,但坊间已有不少人指责他们也有不少已不信他们的报导。再过多廿年是否会出现另一个局面,可能性甚高,因为这种事背后的策划者美国已有极大的改变,本人相信当年布什总统冲口而出说每年用了二千万美元来支持香港的民主活动虽然可能仍是由中情局的开支来处理,但看看近年来美国之音的改变及涉及中国问题的处理手法,已看到有极大的转移了。美国人的改变正如他们的婚姻一样,随时会由浓情变成了比冰还冷的感觉。
Basing on the present situation, although the media is still controlled by Chinese style traitors, but in the society, there are many denouncing their reportage. A new situation with twenty years more will be possible. That is because the one behind the curtain, the America has tremendous change. I believe that President Bush had once said that they had spent 20 million US dollars annually for supporting the democratic movement of Hong Kong still remains part of the CIA's budget, but just check the huge change for the works of the "Voice of America" in recent years and the cases related to China. The American can change easily just like their marriage, any time the deepest love can change to something cold as ice.
万一将来在一人一票选出一位汉奸做特首的话,那会如何呢?首先香港是不能处理外交及军事,所以引番兵入港的事绝不会出现。有一点要注意,回归后当美国的小鹰号终于被中央批准来港时,那一天整个香港都是充满欢容好像过节一样。本人当时想,美国水兵上岸找什么呢?异性及母爱是我们自小已知的事,莫非香港人大多数家庭中都有这一类工作的人吗?单是电视台报导的女主持就像久旱逢甘露,好在电视是没有气味否则就丑死人。所以有可能由行政长官接待,水兵们可以在礼宾府以选美方式找寻安慰。那又如何呢?可能当时的总理被问及中国有没有妓女,他就要回答有,在被英国统治了百多年的香港,这是一国两制的最佳例子。
In case of selection a Chinese style traitor as Chief Executive, what would happen? First, Hong Kong is not allowed to handle foreign affairs and military, so "bringing foreign force to invade Hong Kong" will not happened. One thing we ought to remember, after the turnover when China authority allowed the Kitty Hawk to visit Hong Kong, we found smiling faces everywhere that date just like a festival. I thought what would American marine look for? We know since childhood that they looked for female and motherhood, did it mean that most Hong Kong people had someone in the family working for that. We could look at the TV, most female reporters looked like meeting rain in long period of drought, fortunately we did not have smell from TV, otherwise there would be a great embarrassment. So if that would be welcomed by the Chief Executive, the marine can select for their comfort like a beauty contest in the Government House. So what? The premier of that time would answer the question of "Is there prostitute in China?" with "Yes, in the place where England had ruled for over one hundred years, Hong Kong, that is a good example of One Country Two System".
至于经济立面,更加放心。第一香港是要量入为出,第二香港人对钱的敏感程度绝对是世界首位,当他们利益受损时,就会不顾对方是老豆还是老友,必定抗争到底。中央只须在现在多点声明,由于香港不用上缴,日后有经济问题是不一定有中央支持,除非与其它省市一样才可。
As for economy, there is nothing to worry. First Hong Kong needs to based on spending upon income, second, Hong Kong citizen have the highest sensitivity to money, when their benefits are affected, they would not care whether it is their father or good friend, they will fight to the end. The Central Authority just have to say now that since Hong Kong needs not handing over any tax to the Central, if there are problem in the future, Central may not give a helping hand, unless similar to other province of cities in the mainland.
还有中国现在已不是像经济改革初期的情况,香港的作用也越来越低了。再过十多廿年,相信会更加没有任何贡献,连作为对台湾的统一例子都可能不及美国转变策略重要。
Moreover, China now is not like the beginning of economic reform, the Hong Kong effect is diminishing. With ten or tweny years ahead, there may not have any contribution at all, even as an example of unity to Taiwan may not be important than the change of policy by America.
Wednesday, July 7, 2010
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